As I ponder my navel

I have, over the years, read about various commentators predicting a set of “things” that will come to be over the next 12 months. I remember some year in the later part of the 1990s being “the year of Linux on the desktop” etc etc. As is any form of navel gazing, the hit rates are not that good.

Having said that, I think I would like to document my own IT predictions for the coming year:

a) Virtualization will change in fundamental ways how IT resources are used. The value proposition of Xen/Linux and also the kvm/Linux will push the likes of VMware and M$ virtualization to the sidelines.
b) Vista will have a major security breach that will cause some serious financial losses that will prompt the US CERT and the DoD along with the EU banning the deployment of Vista entirely.
c) The Singapore government’s Standard Operating Environment (SOE) tender will either be cancelled or totally revamped because of Singapore’s adoption of the ODF as a national standard.
d) will be bought by google.
e) OpenSuse and OpenSolaris will increase in prominance but will continue to be lagging further behind because of the growth of Fedora and Ubuntu.
f) Adobe’s flash and related technologies and formats will become open standards and wind their way to becoming ISO standards.

Let’s see how this fares on December 31, 2007.


  1. I am a Linux user
    Dear Sir,
    I came across your blog by accident as I was looking for Linux user groups in Singapore. I started to look into Linux many years ago when they have user group meetings in Funan. It was quite difficult to use back then. I stopped after a while as the software applications that I need to support work in the M$ world. But Linux is never off my mind all the time. I re-visited Linux recently.
    Since last year, I have tried a few distros (Suse, Mandriva, fedora, PuppyOS, Ubuntu). This is typed on my older dual Pentium3 933Mhz running Ubuntu. Life in Linux is good, I ran PuppyOS (USB thumbdrive, bootable) on my IBM X32, it is superbly brilliant.
    I like your predictions. But sadly, I still have to work in the M$ world to earn a liviing. Just to touch base.
    Renewed Linux User

    • Re: I am a Linux user
      Naturally, you should ensure that your livelihood is taken care of. But you should also do yourself a favour by gaining the requisite skills and certifications (such as RHCE) and then go on to propose to your organization and/or customers the virtues of LInux. Vista is horribly broken and is nothing more than a revenue event for Microsoft. Let’s help guide the people who are being snooked by Microsoft to a better way of spending their IT dollars.
      BTW, please consider re-joining LUGS.

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